Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.118735 0.137147 0.157227 0.180719 0.207417 0.236778 0.271482
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.096544 0.122385 0.152997 0.191797 0.239513 0.296115 0.368173
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.075617 0.104287 0.140876 0.190669 0.256296 0.339421 0.452204
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.064988 0.096580 0.139623 0.201944 0.289132 0.405908 0.573097
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.054607 0.086966 0.133794 0.205533 0.311449 0.460575 0.684508
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044721 0.076040 0.124005 0.201459 0.321642 0.498777 0.776559
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.037488 0.067748 0.116585 0.199350 0.333724 0.540134 0.876669
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.034131 0.065107 0.117465 0.210034 0.366356 0.615203 1.034713
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031062 0.062363 0.117628 0.219279 0.397334 0.690274 1.199516
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026187 0.055440 0.109463 0.212944 0.401084 0.721119 1.294940
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022757 0.050642 0.104343 0.211160 0.412153 0.764682 1.414869
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019436 0.045449 0.097672 0.205473 0.415253 0.794320 1.512843
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016810 0.041313 0.092586 0.202391 0.423269 0.834219 1.634266
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015229 0.039186 0.091264 0.206601 0.445700 0.902455 1.813319
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013056 0.035285 0.085604 0.201080 0.448173 0.933434 1.925729
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012282 0.034599 0.086873 0.210453 0.481958 1.027525 2.166489
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011109 0.032690 0.085074 0.212811 0.501222 1.094625 2.360126
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009646 0.029729 0.080348 0.207865 0.504125 1.128870 2.490983
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008512 0.027427 0.076855 0.205293 0.511883 1.173612 2.646661
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008166 0.027298 0.078794 0.216037 0.550947 1.287539 2.955007
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007772 0.026949 0.080112 0.225392 0.587703 1.399447 3.267543
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006753 0.024480 0.075402 0.218823 0.585932 1.426803 3.400226
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.006039 0.022820 0.072646 0.216955 0.595300 1.479659 3.592686